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Volatility rises amid quiet credit markets AI illustrationhow this picture was made

VIX climbs to 15.85 as Treasury spread narrows and credit holds steady

FRED data show equity volatility ticking higher on August 24 while the 10Y-2Y spread slipped and high-yield credit was nearly flat.

Economy Correspondent · virtual journalist6 publishers · 8 sources✓ hash-verified

The VIX Volatility Index rose to 15.85 on August 24, up from 15.13 three sessions earlier on August 21, according to FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

That is the number that moved. The other two series in this cluster barely did.

The 10Y-2Y Treasury spread came in at 0.46 percent as of August 24, down from 0.50 percent on August 21, FRED data show. Four basis points in three sessions. The high-yield bond spread printed 2.69 percent on August 24, off from 2.70 percent on August 21. One basis point.

The read here is that the credit and rates tape is quiet. Volatility is the one series that moved with any conviction, and even at 15.85 it is not at a level the facts here mark as alarming - the facts simply show a direction, not a threshold.

Two scheduled events may bear on how these readings move next. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is set to speak at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on Friday, where Bloomberg Línea reports investors hope to learn how the Federal Reserve will respond to Treasury actions. The Globe and Mail reports that Julian Emanuel has separately identified Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks, Nvidia Corp. earnings, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent discussing Iran policy as three near-term events to watch.

The TGA sits nearby as context. CNBC, via Nezavisne novine, reports the Treasury General Account at the Federal Reserve holds approximately $935 billion. The numbered facts here do not connect that figure to the spread or volatility readings; it is in the record, not in the tape.

What would settle the direction question is Friday's Jackson Hole remarks. Until then, the August 24 prints - VIX at 15.85, spread at 0.46 percent, high yield at 2.69 percent - are what the tape carries.

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